Comments on: Despite “Global Warming” Hurricanes are getting weaker and fewer in number. Why? http://hurricanequestions.com/despite-global-warming-hurricanes-are-getting-weaker-and-fewer-in-number-why.htm Sun, 20 May 2012 17:38:44 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.7.1 hourly 1 By: Tegan http://hurricanequestions.com/despite-global-warming-hurricanes-are-getting-weaker-and-fewer-in-number-why.htm/comment-page-1#comment-6738 Tegan Thu, 26 Nov 2009 21:39:46 +0000 http://hurricanequestions.com/despite-global-warming-hurricanes-are-getting-weaker-and-fewer-in-number-why.htm#comment-6738 The likelihood that "Global Warming" has been stretched and exaggerated on behalf of a certain political agenda is extremely high. The facts that certain "scientists" have presented have no stability if they have been used by people such as Al Gore or Bush because of their political standing. They have been trying to push people a certain way to get the public to vote for them or the people they stand for. A scientist with no political standing whatsoever would be a much better candidate for research on this subject, as they have no reason to lie or warp their findings. The findings of such scientists seem to learn toward that while Global Warming does exist, it is not occurring at the rate and intensity that have been presented to the public. Also, there seems to be no proof that humans are the ones in control. Nature is most likely the one most responsible for this Global Warming as such occurrences have happened in the past without the help of humans. In short, scientists have indeed lied to us and many of the "fact" that they present have been warped to support a certain political agenda. The likelihood that "Global Warming" has been stretched and exaggerated on behalf of a certain political agenda is extremely high. The facts that certain "scientists" have presented have no stability if they have been used by people such as Al Gore or Bush because of their political standing. They have been trying to push people a certain way to get the public to vote for them or the people they stand for. A scientist with no political standing whatsoever would be a much better candidate for research on this subject, as they have no reason to lie or warp their findings. The findings of such scientists seem to learn toward that while Global Warming does exist, it is not occurring at the rate and intensity that have been presented to the public. Also, there seems to be no proof that humans are the ones in control. Nature is most likely the one most responsible for this Global Warming as such occurrences have happened in the past without the help of humans.

In short, scientists have indeed lied to us and many of the "fact" that they present have been warped to support a certain political agenda.

]]> By: Low Boy http://hurricanequestions.com/despite-global-warming-hurricanes-are-getting-weaker-and-fewer-in-number-why.htm/comment-page-1#comment-6739 Low Boy Thu, 26 Nov 2009 21:39:46 +0000 http://hurricanequestions.com/despite-global-warming-hurricanes-are-getting-weaker-and-fewer-in-number-why.htm#comment-6739 the biggest problem is the so called experts are only dealing with information for the last couple hundreds of years. they do not know the climate history of the world thousands of years ago. they can only speculate. i wonder about global warming myself, i live in south louisiana and in december we had about 2 inches of snow. they are all making hypothetical conjecture on millions of bits of data that no one really understands. the biggest problem is the so called experts are only dealing with information for the last couple hundreds of years. they do not know the climate history of the world thousands of years ago. they can only speculate. i wonder about global warming myself, i live in south louisiana and in december we had about 2 inches of snow. they are all making hypothetical conjecture on millions of bits of data that no one really understands.

]]> By: bucket22 http://hurricanequestions.com/despite-global-warming-hurricanes-are-getting-weaker-and-fewer-in-number-why.htm/comment-page-1#comment-6740 bucket22 Thu, 26 Nov 2009 21:39:46 +0000 http://hurricanequestions.com/despite-global-warming-hurricanes-are-getting-weaker-and-fewer-in-number-why.htm#comment-6740 A linear regression through that graph reveals an increase of ACE of about 200 over the last 30 years, R^2 about 0.12. I haven't done it, but I suspect an analysis would also reveal a fairly strong positive correlation between ocean temperatures and ACE. Also, 2008 was a cooler la Nina year, while 2005 was a warmer el Nino. So a drop in ACE is actually evidence for warmer temperatures increasing hurricane activity. So a basic statistical analysis contradicts some of the claims made on the blog post. Given the silly political statements of the individual presenting this graph, you might want to question the data as well. A linear regression through that graph reveals an increase of ACE of about 200 over the last 30 years, R^2 about 0.12. I haven’t done it, but I suspect an analysis would also reveal a fairly strong positive correlation between ocean temperatures and ACE.

Also, 2008 was a cooler la Nina year, while 2005 was a warmer el Nino. So a drop in ACE is actually evidence for warmer temperatures increasing hurricane activity.

So a basic statistical analysis contradicts some of the claims made on the blog post. Given the silly political statements of the individual presenting this graph, you might want to question the data as well.

]]> By: Dawei http://hurricanequestions.com/despite-global-warming-hurricanes-are-getting-weaker-and-fewer-in-number-why.htm/comment-page-1#comment-6741 Dawei Thu, 26 Nov 2009 21:39:46 +0000 http://hurricanequestions.com/despite-global-warming-hurricanes-are-getting-weaker-and-fewer-in-number-why.htm#comment-6741 peter.jungman already asked about this report, but alright. The reason for the decline since 2005 is that temperatures are less than they were then. Plus, he is including 2009 for some reason, which doesn't make much sense to me since the hurricane season hasn't even started yet. The purpose of the report was just to show that natural variability from el nino cycles has a greater impact on storms than global warming. It was not to say that global warming has absolutely no effect. Indeed if you were to put a trend line from 1975 to today on that graph, it would be sloping upward. That should be pretty obvious. peter.jungman already asked about this report, but alright.

The reason for the decline since 2005 is that temperatures are less than they were then. Plus, he is including 2009 for some reason, which doesn’t make much sense to me since the hurricane season hasn’t even started yet.

The purpose of the report was just to show that natural variability from el nino cycles has a greater impact on storms than global warming. It was not to say that global warming has absolutely no effect. Indeed if you were to put a trend line from 1975 to today on that graph, it would be sloping upward. That should be pretty obvious.

]]> By: erin7 http://hurricanequestions.com/despite-global-warming-hurricanes-are-getting-weaker-and-fewer-in-number-why.htm/comment-page-1#comment-6742 erin7 Thu, 26 Nov 2009 21:39:46 +0000 http://hurricanequestions.com/despite-global-warming-hurricanes-are-getting-weaker-and-fewer-in-number-why.htm#comment-6742 Really? Having been in a hurricane this past year I took a bit of an intrest and seem to recall that this was the 3rd most costly year, this hurricane season started early, was the 4th busest since 1944 and is the only year where there wa a major hurricane every month. There were 16 named storms, the average is 11, the prediction was 12-16. There were 8 hurricanes, the average is about 6, the prdiction was 6-9. There were 5 major hurricanes, the average is about 2, the prediction was 2-5. Really? Having been in a hurricane this past year I took a bit of an intrest and seem to recall that this was the 3rd most costly year, this hurricane season started early, was the 4th busest since 1944 and is the only year where there wa a major hurricane every month.
There were 16 named storms, the average is 11, the prediction was 12-16.
There were 8 hurricanes, the average is about 6, the prdiction was 6-9.
There were 5 major hurricanes, the average is about 2, the prediction was 2-5.

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