I just read an article online that says Colorado State University experts still predict up to 18 named storms this hurricane season with at least 10 hurricanes. I live in Miami and so I watch the tropics carefully. I am no expert but it seems to me that any tropical system that tries to develop gets destroyed by wind shear and saharan dust from Africa. This is what happened with Bonnie and Colin.
So why this prediction when conditions seem to hostile for tropical development. And its August already!
.

We have vinyl windows that were installed prior to us owning our house. On the frame are these little plastic pieces. Now the pieces are starting to break off leaving holes in the frame and so when I open the windows, I have to stuff tissue in there to prevent bugs from getting in the house. Does anyone know what these plastic parts are and what I can do to fill the holes? I have asked some contractors what they are and some have no idea and others say it could be that the windows are hurricane windows (we do not live where there are hurricanes) and finally another said it is to let any water drain out of the window.

Help me figure this out please before Spring is here and I have my windows open all the time!!!! Thanks so much!

present an argument against the theory of manmade global warming.

It appears that many skeptics and deniers are quite convinced that their assertions are valid. This led me to wonder why they don’t validate their claims with links to sources or other citations.

So my question to skeptics is this – can you provide the evidence to back up the claims that are often used? Links to credible websites will be fine.

Given that skeptics like to be thought of as rational, objective and factual, then I expect there will be no problem at all in substantiating all of the following.

• The current warming is caused by natural cycles

• Global warming has ended and the Earth has been cooling for X number of years

• Scientists have admitted that they invented global warming, fabricated the evidence etc

• Global warming has not caused any change in the weather – droughts, floods, hurricanes etc

• Global warming is caused by the urban heat island effect, surface stations are incorrectly sited etc

• Scientists have deleted the raw data, the work of scientists can’t be verified

• It’s warmed faster in the past

• The number of glaciers is growing, glaciers are expanding etc

• Volcanoes emit more CO2 then humans do

• All the computer models in the past have been wrong

• The other planets are warming therefore it’s the Sun
- - - - - - - - - - -

CLOSING COMMENT.

I mentioned 11 arguments that are often used by climate change skeptics and deniers and asked if it were possible to validate some of the claims.

37 people answers and not one single link to back up one single claim. I’ve asked similar questions before that have elicited a total of 142 answers, none of which provided links to any credible sources.

It seems safe that such claims have no backing and no credibility to them, which therefore begs the question why they are perpetuated by the skeptics and deniers.

Kerry Emanuel is an MIT climate scientist and expert on hurricanes. It’s sad I need to say this, but to try and ward off ad hominem attacks, it should be noted that until a couple of years ago Emanuel was considered an AGW ’skeptic’. He also voted for Ronald Reagan, so please let’s avoid calling him a socialist/communist/leftist/Marxist/etc. Some excerpts:

"the scandal I see is very different from the one that has been presented to NAS members. Climategate is merely the latest in a series of coordinated, politically motivated attacks that represent an aggravated assault on scholarship that should be of concern to every member of NAS who, if they are like me, joined this organization because we were tired of seeing scholarship enslaved to ideology, particularly in academia…the gross mischaracterization of what those emails actually contain continues unabated."

"It is a matter of record that some of the scientists involved in the email exchanges had been subject to Freedom of Information (FOI) requests of such volume as to rise to the level of harassment…The allegation that the researchers actually destroyed data has been shown to be false, but it is repeated endlessly."

At the end he criticizes his friend and MIT colleague Richard Lindzen.

"While the climategate email authors are castigated for not being paragons of virtue, the sins of others go unremarked. In the summer of 2009, a one-page letter was sent to Congress, signed by one actual climate scientist and six physicists with little or no background in climate science, three of whom were retired. Among other untruths, it contained the sentence, referring to evidence of anthropogenic global warming, “There is no such evidence; it doesn’t exist.” I confronted the sole climate scientist among the authors [Lindzen] with this statement, and he confessed that he did not hold that to be the case. Last I checked, lying to Congress was a federal crime."
http://www.nas.org/polArticles.cfm?doc_id=1444

Ouch. Bit of a long article, but look it over and put in your 2 cents. What are your thoughts?
Oh jim - open mouth, insert foot.

"We are flooded with claims that the evidence is clear, that the debate is closed, that we must act immediately, etc, but in fact

THERE IS NO SUCH EVIDENCE; IT DOESN’T EXIST."

Signed, Richard Lindzen.
http://www.examiner.com/x-11224-Baltimore-Weather-Examiner~y2009m7d1-Read-scientists-open-letter-to-congress-You-are-being-decieved-about-global-warming
pegminer - maybe I’m confusing Emanuel with Landsea?
Greshnab - perhaps you should read the emails again, with an unbiased eye this time, because they do not say what you claim.
Expeller, there’s an idea. All scientific research should be funded by the oil companies so it can be held to the low standards that the Heritage Foundation reports you’re so fond of are held to.

FYI if you think climate scientists are held to a lower standard than your company, you’re delusional (no newsflash there).

I’m possibly planning a cruise for the middle/end of the year next year. Was wondering if anyone knew if they predicted a good or bad year for hurricanes next year or when they will be. When I say the middle/end of the year talking the months between Aug. - Oct.

We will probably be leaving from FL if we do take a cruise.

Will hurricanes in the area be more or less powerful?

Will ecosystems near the coastline be ruined, due to the oily residue scattering everywhere?

And finally, why aren’t the newspapers in the area covering these issues?
Elsewhere, I’ve heard a convincing argument that oil on the surface of the water will make hurricanes in the area more powerful because the (dark) oil will absorb more heat than water and make the surface hotter.

it might look like alot of work but its only 4 questions and all they want to no is if you use a bar graph, a line graph, a scatter plot, or a pie chart for the information. please help im not good with this kind of stuff.

1.The most common elements found in the Earth’s crust are as follows:
Component
Volume

Oxygen
46.1%

Silicon
27.8%

Aluminum
8.1%

Iron
5%

Calcium
3.6%

Sodium
2.3%

Potassium
2.6%

Magnesium
2.9%

Others
1.6%

Which graph would you use for these data points?

2.You want to decide if there is a relationship between living close to the San Andreas Fault and the number of earthquakes you feel per year.

Distance from Fault (miles)
Earthquakes felt per year

13
8

287
5

1,576
0

44
8

1
16

865
3

1,872
0

433
4

644
2

Which graph would you use for these data points?

3.Significant Hurricanes by State from 1949-1999.

State
Number of Hurricanes

Alabama

3

Louisiana

7

Texas

6

Mississippi

2

Florida

6

Which graph would you use for these data points?

4.Your team is researching the growing hole in the ozone layer. You gather the following data (data compiled by NASA):
Year
Size in Ozone (in million square kilometers)

2000
29.4

2001
26.52

2002
21.74

2003
28.51

2004
22.76

2005
26.77

2006
29.46

2007
25.02

Which graph would you use for this set of data?

Okay you have a minority who does not want you to hear the truth.

PHIL JONE #1 Global Warming Scientist who is quoted by IPCC was exposed as a liar when his emails were hacked and he was fired from his university job.

HE NOW SAYS - NO WARMING SINCE 1995

THE HOCKEY STICK LEFT OUT THE WARMER MEDIEVAL ERA BECAUSE IT PROVES MAN IS NOT BEHIND THE WARMING.

IPCC has had to withdraw many claims due to lack of scientific proof -

Hurricanes intensifying - WITHDRAWN BASED ON 1YR 2005
Himalayan glaciers melting - WITHDRAWN based on a student’s essay
RAIN FOREST effected by small rainfall change - WITHDRAWN - no rainfall data used

It goes on and on check my sources. http://www.ocregister.com/articles/-234092–.html

WHEN WILL YOU GLOBAL WARMERS START TO ASK YOURSELF WHY THE LIES?

Greenland and Antarctic Ice getting thicker, Arctic Ice increasing, Polar Bear Populations increasing, Himalayan glaciers not shrinking, less hurricanes, colder winters in North America, Europe and Asia for two years than in the last 30 years, generally colder each year for 10 years. Nothing predicted by Global Warming is happening. There is no scientific Consensus. And now ClimateGate shows a lot of data has been fabricated.

http://www.petitionproject.org/

Does Al Gore know more than these people?
And if so, why did he purchase his new home where he did?

Is the environmental movement antihuman?

Firstly, I think "climate change" is nonsense, simple logic and common sense impairs the entire assumption. From the beginning of time, the climate has always changed. For instants, we had the ice age, which was major climate change; however, there was nothing emitting harmful toxins, let alone an SUV or a power plant. Therefore I believe it’s just natural, not human caused. And, the fact that "global warming" was introduces by Al Gore (a politician, not a scientist) and enthused by George Soros sets of many alarm bells.

Then there’s the scientific aspect of the climate change argument, which seems to be scarce in debates. Let’s be realistic, lots of scientists have come out to support the hockey stick graph, and lots of scientists remain skeptical due to lack of facts and moot data. If you can recall, emails were leaked and appeared in The New York Times regarding “unfortunate” data that could not account for the lack of “warming”, then the data was asked to be skewed to fit the climate change hypothesis. Now they’re convincing people that all the natural monstrosities, such as hurricanes, tornadoes, and yes cooling are the results of global warming. The fact is, climate change is hardly a settled science; the hypothesis is inconsistent and is constantly remolded to reflect the current status of weather. If you look at Antarctica, the ice sheets are indeed growing and thickening, not melting (reference The Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research report). This is just one of many moot data points that are the pillars of the climate change argument.

I could debate for hours about the falsity of the climate change hypothesis. For your sake I’ll move on to the question: Would you agree that the environmental movement is subsequently anti human?

Let’s take the Discovery Channel incident, where a guy held up the building with explosives demanding the Discovery Channel adjust its programming and become a bit more apocalyptic on the issue of global warming/climate change. He claimed that the environment is too unstable to withstand the rate of population; and his brilliant solution was that we find a way to decrease the population; he also referred to infants as parasites. A quick side note, he was influenced by Al Gore’s “An Inconvenient Truth” (I’m not blaming Al Gore, I’m just pointing it out). So he’s essentially putting the whole of the environment ahead of evil mankind.

Let’s take another case. In California, is illegal to destroy or "harm" an eagle’s egg. However, abortion, a living person, may be poisoned, and to help, the taxpayer may pay for the expenses. So, that means, an eagle’s egg is protected by the law of California, but an infant is not.

The fact is, environmentalists regard the environment obviously as the greatest priority (or even more extreme, a god figure) and man is least significant, therefore may be killed if it means to save a small portion of the environment.

To close, I want to point out a paradox. Environmentalists usually are among those advocating for equality economically and the redistribution of wealth. However, studies show that the more wealth a nation is the higher the longevity of life. So, that implies that, if longevity is high, the living conditions must also be exceptionally good (a good environment).

My conclusion: Climate change is natural, and is not unique in any way and cannot be a fault of man. Change is a constant in the cycle of time. Furthermore, those advocating for environmentalists principles are quite honestly gullible people (slight exaggeration), subscribing to a dangerous, anti human scheme, used as a tool by politician as a power grab in the ever expanding nanny state.

well what do they look like
i know like what cold fronts and warm fronts
and when isobars are close togther its windy
highs are big Hs in isobars that are spread far apart
and lows and big Ls in isobars that are very close togther!!!
if u dont know about hurricanes
.tornados
.cyclones
.tropical stroms

…would you have guessed it was the Wild and Hurricanes?

http://sports.yahoo.com/nhl/blog/puck_daddy/post/Over-and-out-Time-to-leave-the-NHL-Premiere-Gam?urn=nhl-275929

1. In an experiment, which variable does the scientist change directly?
controlled
dependent
independent
responding

2. In an experiment, which variable changes as the result of a change in another variable?
dependent
independent
controlled
manipulated

3. All of these are methods of testing hypotheses except __________.
building a model
conducting an experiment
running a computer simulation
making an educated guess

4. Which tool for magnifying objects is the simplest one to use?
electron microscope
hand lens
light microscope
stereo microscope

5. Which of these tools would best help a meteorologist study the formation of large hurricanes?
computer simulation
electron microscope
centrifuge
stereo microscope

6. What is the first step in a scientific investigation?
form a hypothesis
collect data
define a problem
draw a conclusion

Which parts of Florida is immune from hurricanes?

…children"
Day 1: You did it! Even though there were numerous warnings that Hurricane Ike was coming, rather than leave your home, for some very deep personal reason you decide to remain. You are knowledgeable about hurricanes. You know that you will be faced with the following: Winds in excess of 115 MPH, Waves up to 25 feet, potential Flooding potentially up to 25 feet, lose of electricity, lose of fresh water, lose of sewage, no medical aid, animals running wild (to include a tiger), no cell or phone service, no 911, police, or fire department, and after the storm hits, you are on your own for the next 72 hours. You can’t just go to the grocery store and stock up on food supplies and bottled water because people panicked and have already cleared the shelves. Gas stations have exhausted their supply of fuel. It is now too late to leave. The storm will hit in 8 hours. What would you do? (I just came back from helping work crews in Galveston, TX)

Okay you have a minority who does not want you to hear the truth.

PHIL JONE #1 Global Warming Scientist who is quoted by IPCC was exposed as a liar when his emails were hacked and he was fired from his university job.

HE NOW SAYS - NO WARMING SINCE 1995

THE HOCKEY STICK LEFT OUT THE WARMER MEDIEVAL ERA BECAUSE IT PROVES MAN IS NOT BEHIND THE WARMING.

IPCC has had to withdraw many claims due to lack of scientific proof -

Hurricanes intensifying - WITHDRAWN BASED ON 1YR 2005
Himalayan glaciers melting - WITHDRAWN based on a student’s essay
RAIN FOREST effected by small rainfall change - WITHDRAWN - no rainfall data used

IT goes on and on check my sources. http://www.ocregister.com/articles/-234092–.html

WHEN WILL YOU GLOBAL WARMERS START TO ASK YOURSELF WHY THE LIES?

I am an adult that came here from Wisconsin 5 years ago. I try to explain that it is much worse than a blizzard or anything like that. And then i get questions like, "Don’t you just want to go stand out in the hurricane and watch it?" Haha. I’m like, "It’s NOT a tornado." There’s no spectacle. Just extremely high dangerous life threatening winds with debris and heavy objects falling all around you. And flooding. Terrible flooding. New Orleans type flooding sometimes. Live power lines down. And the hardest part I have is describing how long it messes up the community. It can put everything on hold for weeks and maybe months. I get the craziest questions about hurricanes. And when folks say, "Man I wouldn’t live in Florida because of the hurricanes," then I say, "You can prepare for a hurricane. But you can’t really prepare for gut wrenching super low Florida wages." And that’s when I think of that stupid Wal-Mart smiley face.

or any other site with videos for that matter? and it has to be free.

(i’m doing a proyect on hurricanes and i need a video of one, there was a montage of hurricane katrina with music and i thought it would make a nice ending)

oh, i was thinking about using microsoft power point. or windows movie maker.

thanks, any advice welcome.

going to myrtle beach in 9 days…appears there are two cyclones forming out in the atlantic. Can anyone give me a guess as to if/when they would hit myrtle? Are Hurricanes or the aftereffects of Hurricanes common in September?

http://scienceandpublicpolicy.org/originals/no_climate_change_in_n_carolina.html

Excerpts:

"Averaged across the state of North Carolina, there has been no long-term trend in the state’s annual temperature history since 1895, the year when well-compiled temperature records first become available from the National Climatic Data Center (located in Asheville)."

"Likewise, if you examine North Carolina’s statewide temperature history within the four seasons, you again find no evidence of any unusual climate changes occurring throughout any portion of the year."

"Averaged across the state of North Carolina for each of the past 113 years, statewide annual total precipitation exhibits no long-term trend, averaging just under 50 inches per year."

"The number of hurricanes impacting North Carolina during the last 10-year period, 1998-2007, was similar to periods in the first half of the 20th century. "

Don’t they realize we’re all doomed? How dare they behave as if it’s "no problem?"
Dana : So it’s "Global Warming - except some parts of the Globe aren’t."

Is that like being a "little bit pregnant?"
Oh yeah - I guess Antarctica is also "too stupid" or just a big ol’ chunk of of "except."

http://www.worldclimatereport.com/index.php/2008/02/27/antarctica-ain%e2%80%99t-cooperating/#more-312

Hi,

I’m interested in moving to Florida, because I’m attracted to the idea of living near the ocean. I’m concerned though about the apparent increase in hurricane activity over recent years.

On the one hand, I am aware that hurricanes are simply a part of life in Florida, and it’s just the risk you take living there. But on the other hand, it seems that sometimes just a few miles separate a region that gets slammed from one that doesn’t face very much damage.

So I’m curious if some places have a reputation for getting it really bad, while others very little.

Also, the type of town I’m looking to move to would be rather small (~100,000 people) within an hour or two of a large city. Maybe a small liberal arts college town, or something like this — where the youth culture is thriving

Please let me know if you know of such a place, or if you have a response to my first question (or both!!) — Thanks!

Hi this just fun video we put together to give folks idea what happen on group with people! ..DANNY BECOMING ABSORBED BY A DEVELOPING FRONTAL LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE CAROLIN’S…ADVISORIES COULD BE DISCONTINUED THIS MORNING… A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO DUCK…INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA…IN THIS CASE… WITHIN 12 HOURS. THIS WATCH WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING. INTERESTS ELSEWHERE FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD TO NEW ENGLAND AND THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DANNY. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES…INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS INVESTIGATING DANNY AND PRELIMINARY REPORTS INDICATE THAT CYCLONE IS BECOMING ABSORBED BY A FRONTAL LOW OVER THE CAROLINAS. AT 200 AM EDT…0600 UTC…THE CENTER OF THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM DANNY WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH…LONGITUDE 75.2 WEST OR ABOUT 190 MILES…300 KM…SOUTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 665 MILES…1075 KM…SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NANTUCKET

Hurricanes are usually destructive in some way or another. But, what would be the impact if we did not have hurricanes and ultimately the increased water supply driven into the land they cross? Would this ultimately create drought conditions in areas that might actually depend on the hurricanes increasing the local water table? Are we dependent on the water the hurricanes can produce? Could we, and the areas affected by hurricane activity, survive without them? Your thoughts, please. Thanks.

What are some of the jobs that involves investigating natural disasters. I want to know jobs that involve investigating hurricanes, tornadoes and cyclones. Like a meteroligist. PLEASE DONT SAY A STORM CHASER. something scientific. Thanks.

my parents are up and down but im not sure anymore i dont wanna work to pack up my yard and set up my basement for a "sleepover" if we arent gonna get anything we already spent hundreds in supplies (food, a generater, and a chainsaw idk y a chainsaw) so will it hit if so what time and day, what catagory will suffolk get wind and rain and thuder? i kinda want it to ome but my dad made us pack cuz "hurricanes cause tornados then get in the basement" so now i got a bag of m fave stuff in the basement with the generator beds, tv and a fridge filled with 100s in food

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