What do you think about the forecasters’ call for a terrible hurricane season, yet there are none yet?
It’s the middle of the season, and there haven’t been any hurricanes yet. Just one tropical storm.
And they were predicting such a horrible hurricane season. National Geographic even said: "Hurricanes: No End In Sight"
Yeah, right.
Tagged with: hurricane season • hurricanes • national geographic • quot • tropical storm
Filed under: Hurricane Questions
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The winds that are issuing from the west are very strong this year and are causing the storms coming out of Africa to fall apart before they can grow into hurricanes.
weather is unpredictable. that’s what i think.
I think it’s evidence that the Global Warming crowd is all hype and no substance.
Fear mongering sells, though.
what your name?
My name’s Nhat
Im from Hanoi Vietnam
Living on the east coast, I am thankful they were wrong!!
i think either they guessed and got it wrong, or the hurricanes will be toward the end of the season.
Hi. Don’t relax just yet. Hurricanes form over warm water and the Gulf water is as warm as it has ever been. Wait and see.
This weather is very unpredictable.
‘It’s just forecasters being forecasters’.
It makes me realize how little the general public knows about science. Also, it indicates the unwillingness of the general public to look for information further than the mass media sources–which as we all know, reports everything with 100% accuracy and completeness on every item.
Ernesto reached hurricane strength at one point in the Caribbean Sea. And there’s been an additional five tropical storms in the Atlantic basin (as of Sept 7, 2006).
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2006/index.shtml
Do you know _why_ forecasters issued an above-normal hurricane season forecast update in August? I don’t know how you perceived "above average" into "horrible", but the two links immediately below show you why they thought what they did at that time. They also went so far as to contrast this year’s conditions from last year’s.
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2006/s2678.htm
http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/2006/aug2006/
The link below is to an updated forecast (released 1 Sep 2006) from Dr. Gray’s team at Colorado State. They are now predicting "slightly less hurricane activity than the long term average" for the remainder of the 2006 season.
http://hurricane.atmos.colostate.edu/Forecasts/2006/sep2006/
Why did they offer an updated prediction? El Niño-like conditions (leading to wind shear over the tropical Atlantic) and large amounts of mid-level dryness in the tropical Atlantic (with lots of African dust aloft) have been squelching the tropical cyclone activity so far this year. Those conditions are difficult to predict accurately until they are actually getting ready to happen.